Thursday, April 29, 2010

Pythagorean Records: 4/29

I saw this over on Rays Prospects, and I thought it would be a neat thing to keep track of here. Pythagorean records estimate how well a team should be performing based on runs scored and allowed. It's not perfect, but it can give you an idea if a team might be getting lucky or underachieving. The formula is: (Runs Scored)^1.83/((Runs Scored)^1.83 + (Runs Allowed)^1.83). Because it's so early in the season, nothing really stands out yet, but I'll try and update this every so often.

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TeamWLRSRApWpLDifferencepW%

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Modesto1269459135-10.70105692724206

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Visalia127777510920.51203784188023

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San Jose10874769910.48780169794446

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Stockton91190891010-10.50511160693414

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Bakersfield6115872710-10.402348714293


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TeamWLRSRApWpLDifferencepW%

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High Desert12810474137-10.65085423883118

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Rancho Cucamonga11109895111000.51422010776439

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Lake Elsinore11108910591220.42493597200141

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Inland Empire8138397912-10.42916891051435

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Lancaster61375100712-10.37134333652985

So far, not much stands out. The first W-L is actual record, and the difference column shows how they're doing in relation to how they "should" be doing. Lake Elsinore is probably the real odd team since their run differential is so poor yet they're still over .500.

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