I saw this over on Rays Prospects, and I thought it would be a neat thing to keep track of here. Pythagorean records estimate how well a team should be performing based on runs scored and allowed. It's not perfect, but it can give you an idea if a team might be getting lucky or underachieving. The formula is: (Runs Scored)^1.83/((Runs Scored)^1.83 + (Runs Allowed)^1.83). Because it's so early in the season, nothing really stands out yet, but I'll try and update this every so often.
.
Team
W
L
RS
RA
pW
pL
Difference
pW%
.
Modesto
12
6
94
59
13
5
-1
0.70105692724206
.
Visalia
12
7
77
75
10
9
2
0.51203784188023
.
San Jose
10
8
74
76
9
9
1
0.48780169794446
.
Stockton
9
11
90
89
10
10
-1
0.50511160693414
.
Bakersfield
6
11
58
72
7
10
-1
0.402348714293
.
Team
W
L
RS
RA
pW
pL
Difference
pW%
.
High Desert
12
8
104
74
13
7
-1
0.65085423883118
.
Rancho Cucamonga
11
10
98
95
11
10
0
0.51422010776439
.
Lake Elsinore
11
10
89
105
9
12
2
0.42493597200141
.
Inland Empire
8
13
83
97
9
12
-1
0.42916891051435
.
Lancaster
6
13
75
100
7
12
-1
0.37134333652985
So far, not much stands out. The first W-L is actual record, and the difference column shows how they're doing in relation to how they "should" be doing. Lake Elsinore is probably the real odd team since their run differential is so poor yet they're still over .500.
I'm always looking for new links to add. If you have anything I should consider, particularly in the newspaper and prospect sections, contact me. I'd like to have a newspaper that covers every team and a prospect site that focuses on each ML team with an affiliate in the California League.
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